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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
biying99999BreakTheBankndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)48% (123–131, n=254)45% (572–710, n=1282)63% (989–573, n=1562)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)
Consensus PnL$13K$7.9M$3.2M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #444PM monthly #2PM monthly #90PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position78% (28 of 36 open)72% (54 of 75 open)50% (9 of 18 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +52 pts n=61, ROI +52%
  • NFL +48 pts n=38, ROI +46%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won100% of 112 at avg 50¢, ROI +49%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 100% of 61)35% (won 98% of 204)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢44% (won 100% of 49)35% (won 100% of 202)24% (won 58% of 314)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 100% of 2)20% (won 100% of 116)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbiying99999BreakTheBankndb1primm
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $407KNo $335K—
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $1.1K—Ravens $510
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $65
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $837—Ravens $4