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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | primm | RN1 | TheMathGod | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) | 47% (14240–15745, n=29985) | 63% (114–68, n=182) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $3.6M | $14.8M | -$42K |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #50 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | PM monthly #969 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 63% (19 of 30 open) | 61% (90 of 148 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | MLB −11 pts, n=64 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 63% of 179 at avg 64¢, ROI −4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) | 2% (won 33% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) | 8% (won 47% of 15) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) | 59% (won 53% of 105) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) | 31% (won 86% of 56) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | primm | RN1 | TheMathGod |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico vs. Nevada opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | — | Nevada $7.4K | New Mexico $2.4K | — |
| Spread: South Florida (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus South Florida | — | South Florida $3.7K | East Carolina $3.5K | — |
| Spread: Nebraska (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Illinois | — | Nebraska $2.0K | Illinois $2.1K | — |
| Spread: Nebraska (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Illinois | — | Nebraska $2.1K | Illinois $1.5K | — |
| Nebraska vs. Illinois: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.3K | Under $1.9K | — |
| Spread: New Mexico (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | — | Nevada $1.3K | New Mexico $1.4K | — |
| South Florida vs. East Carolina: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.3K | Over $1.2K | — |
| Spread: South Florida (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus East Carolina | — | South Florida $416 | East Carolina $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Illinois (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Illinois | — | Nebraska $1.1K | Illinois $763 | — |
| Spread: South Florida (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus East Carolina | — | South Florida $324 | East Carolina $1.0K | — |
| Spread: SMU (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus SMU | — | Virginia Tech $381 | SMU $416 | — |
| Spread: East Carolina (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus South Florida | — | South Florida $286 | East Carolina $458 | — |
| Spread: SMU (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus SMU | — | Virginia Tech $189 | SMU $114 | — |
| Spread: SMU (-10.5) same side · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Virginia Tech $3.5K | Virginia Tech $1.7K | — |
| New Mexico vs. Nevada: O/U 43.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1.7K | Over $489 | — |
| Spread: SMU (-7.5) same side · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Virginia Tech $5 | Virginia Tech $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Nebraska (-6.5) same side · consensus Illinois | — | Illinois $91 | Illinois $785 | — |
| New Mexico vs. Nevada: O/U 41.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $164 | Over $42 | — |
| Spread: SMU (-4.5) same side · consensus SMU | — | SMU $3 | SMU $122 | — |