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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4esticamosFlaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market54% (146–125, n=271)52% (6520–6024, n=12544)50% (1106–1118, n=2224)
Consensus PnL—$15K$3.5M$3.6M
Tracked as—was PM monthly #980PM monthly #23PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position70% (273 of 388 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +3 pts n=79, ROI −1%
  • MMA +12 pts n=21, ROI +5%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Tennis −1 pts, n=140Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—69% of 249 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—18% (won 18% of 45)29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢—9% (won 55% of 22)16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢—15% (won 57% of 37)16% (won 62% of 260)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up—58% (won 90% of 145)39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.