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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4biying99999Flaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (120–125, n=245)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)
Consensus PnL—$15K$3.3M$3.6M
Tracked as—was PM monthly #444PM monthly #22PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position40% (2 of 5 open)66% (195 of 297 open)67% (20 of 30 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +52 pts n=60, ROI +52%
  • NFL +48 pts n=38, ROI +46%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 111 at avg 50¢, ROI +49%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—0%29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢—54% (won 100% of 60)16% (won 40% of 243)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢—44% (won 100% of 49)17% (won 62% of 255)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up—2% (won 100% of 2)38% (won 94% of 561)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4biying99999Flaznorpprimm
Hapoel Jerusalem vs. BC Aris Thessaloniki
opposite sides · consensus BC Aris Thessaloniki
—BC Aris Thessaloniki $10Hapoel Jerusalem $998—
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
same side · consensus Central Michigan
——Eastern Michigan $333Eastern Michigan $2.0K
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.4KUnder $337—