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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4biying99999BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (120–125, n=245)46% (560–667, n=1227)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL—$15K$9.4M$14.8M
Tracked as—was PM monthly #444PM monthly #2PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position40% (2 of 5 open)55% (11 of 20 open)60% (102 of 170 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +52 pts n=59, ROI +52%
  • NFL +48 pts n=38, ROI +46%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 106 at avg 50¢, ROI +49%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—0%11% (won 80% of 61)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—55% (won 100% of 58)35% (won 98% of 203)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—43% (won 100% of 46)35% (won 100% of 201)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—2% (won 100% of 2)20% (won 100% of 115)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4biying99999BreakTheBankRN1
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Bucks $1.5KCeltics $7.1K—
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.4K—Under $120
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $206—Over $87