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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Flaznorpprimmwpj
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (6603–6153, n=12756)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)42% (14–19, n=33)
Consensus PnL—$3.7M$3.6M$25K
Tracked as—PM monthly #13PM monthly #47was PM monthly #981
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (177 of 252 open)71% (12 of 17 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%38% of 29 at avg 41¢, ROI −4%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)38% (won 0% of 11)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)21% (won 33% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢—15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)17% (won 60% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)24% (won 86% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4Flaznorpprimmwpj
Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee
same side · consensus Middle Tennessee
—Middle Tennessee $1.2KMiddle Tennessee $4.9K—