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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | ifyouloveme | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 54% (267–231, n=498) | 47% (14348–15981, n=30329) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.1M | $11.0M | $27K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #331 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 64% (72 of 113 open) | 62% (23 of 37 open) | 56% (32 of 57 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | Geopolitics ±0 pts, n=82 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 50% of 455 at avg 47¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 38% (won 15% of 175) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 16% (won 52% of 71) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 16% (won 58% of 73) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 30% (won 90% of 136) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | ifyouloveme | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $242K | Yes $28 | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $187K | Yes $2.0K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $77K | No $2.0K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $28K | Yes $444 | — |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $22K | Yes $750 | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $157 | Yes $202 | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $607 | No $3.4K | — |