← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | groth | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 76% (231–72, n=303) | 66% (875–459, n=1334) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.1M | $11.0M | $152K | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #993 | PM monthly #25 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 76% (84 of 110 open) | 60% (6 of 10 open) | 70% (30 of 43 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 71% of 309 at avg 58¢, ROI +10% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 29% (won 18% of 90) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 7% (won 62% of 21) | 20% (won 40% of 253) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 15% (won 87% of 46) | 24% (won 57% of 310) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 49% (won 98% of 152) | 43% (won 93% of 544) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.