← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | TheWindKnowsmyName | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 47% (12761–14165, n=26926) | 88% (130–17, n=147) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $11.2M | $14.8M | -$57K |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #23 + pinned | was PM monthly #953 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 69% (44 of 64 open) | 66% (77 of 117 open) | 53% (181 of 341 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 95% of 128 at avg 70¢, ROI +28% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 7% (won 67% of 9) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 16% (won 95% of 21) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 14% (won 94% of 18) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 63% (won 99% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.