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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (549–663, n=1212)52% (5355–4921, n=10276)50% (19442–19516, n=38958)
Consensus PnL—$11.2M$580K$3.1M
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #57PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position68% (28 of 41 open)67% (71 of 106 open)64% (30 of 47 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • MLB +59 pts n=945, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −1 pts, n=164—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%54% of 10253 at avg 51¢, ROI +3%100% of 40605 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 81% of 57)13% (won 19% of 1347)7% (won 99% of 2777)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 201)35% (won 46% of 3634)20% (won 100% of 8217)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 99% of 196)35% (won 61% of 3558)22% (won 100% of 8818)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 100% of 109)17% (won 86% of 1714)51% (won 100% of 20793)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSUpTheBlues
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $22KNo $4.8K—
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $16KYes $3.0K—
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $13KNo $4.8K—
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $28No $11K—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $407KNo $13K—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $22KYes $2.9K—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $15KYes $811—
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $3.3KYes $5.3K—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.6KYes $376—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.0KYes $1.8K—
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $80Yes $1.6K—
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.3KYes $96—
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $31Yes $534—
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $197Yes $67—