Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
b4k9xj2whBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)97% (159–5, n=164)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL$100K$7.6M$4.1M$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #820PM monthly #3PM monthly #11PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)89% (32 of 36 open)67% (109 of 162 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicElections −2 pts, n=15—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won97% of 161 at avg 96¢, ROI +1%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢0%36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢0%35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up100% (won 97% of 161)20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketb4k9xj2whBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $119KYes $2.2M