PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
austrsainttroplayRN1omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (10–4, n=14)48% (12302–13184, n=25486)50% (13782–13915, n=27697)
Consensus PnL—$4.4M$13.4M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #977was PM monthly #11PM monthly #23 + pinnedPM monthly #19
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position83% (5 of 6 open)71% (10 of 14 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 24256 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—0%10% (won 56% of 2507)8% (won 59% of 860)
Entries 30–50¢—50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5408)21% (won 86% of 2252)
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8790)39% (won 94% of 4102)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%31% (won 100% of 7551)32% (won 99% of 3425)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketaustrsainttroplayRN1omnibus-076daa
Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Harriet Dart
same side · consensus Paula Badosa
——Paula Badosa $1.3KPaula Badosa $418
Pan Pacific Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez
same side · consensus Elena Rybakina
——Leylah Fernandez $131Leylah Fernandez $1.1K