PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
aqzfssqkqzbcbr1994RN1omnibus-076daaBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (12083–12906, n=24989)50% (13566–13694, n=27260)45% (510–623, n=1133)
Consensus PnL—$13.4M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #503PM monthly #17 + pinnedPM monthly #16PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position78% (7 of 9 open)50% (1 of 2 open)63% (26 of 41 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNBA −9 pts, n=34———
Settled positions, side won59% of 979 at avg 57¢, ROI +4%94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 19% of 90)10% (won 56% of 2478)8% (won 59% of 860)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 37% of 242)22% (won 94% of 5361)21% (won 86% of 2252)35% (won 98% of 181)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 62% of 354)36% (won 99% of 8705)39% (won 94% of 4102)34% (won 99% of 176)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 86% of 293)31% (won 100% of 7425)32% (won 99% of 3425)20% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketaqzfssqkqzbcbr1994RN1omnibus-076daaBreakTheBank
Lakers vs. Clippers
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
——Lakers $4.4KClippers $98K