← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| appleperson | fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 52% (12–11, n=23) | 54% (371–318, n=689) | 59% (40–28, n=68) |
| Consensus PnL | $89 | $567K | $398K | $532K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #992 | PM monthly #37 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #15 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (6 of 8 open) | no open consensus position | 68% (117 of 171 open) | 50% (6 of 12 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2 at avg 68¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 13 at avg 47¢, ROI +54% | 100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 39 at avg 57¢, ROI +38% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 8% (won 100% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 3% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 54% (won 100% of 7) | 32% (won 100% of 62) | 33% (won 100% of 13) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 31% (won 100% of 4) | 59% (won 100% of 115) | 44% (won 100% of 17) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 8% (won 100% of 1) | 8% (won 100% of 15) | 21% (won 100% of 8) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | appleperson | fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | — | Clippers $1.7K | Thunder $8.7K |
| Warriors vs. Spurs opposite sides · consensus Spurs | — | — | Spurs $3.2K | Warriors $2.3K |