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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| anoin123 | HomeRunHazard | pIebe | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 100% (4–0, n=4) | 54% (304–264, n=568) | 82% (9–2, n=11) | 44% (4–5, n=9) |
| Consensus PnL | $210K | $309K | $5.5K | $392K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #72 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #190 | was PM monthly #70 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (62 of 92 open) | 69% (87 of 126 open) | 65% (17 of 26 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| none with 10+ settled | not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 82% of 11 at avg 63¢, ROI −7% | 100% of 163 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 63% of 8 at avg 54¢, ROI +8% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 38% (won 0% of 3) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 50% of 4) | 29% (won 100% of 48) | 0% | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 100% of 3) | 62% (won 100% of 101) | 13% (won 100% of 1) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 36% (won 100% of 4) | 8% (won 100% of 13) | 50% (won 100% of 4) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | anoin123 | HomeRunHazard | pIebe | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $14K | — | Yes $40K | — |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $41K | — | Yes $521 | — |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 30? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $11K | — | No $9 | — |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $5.7K | — | Yes $358 | — |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $5.1K | — | No $95 | — |
| Will Ian Buck be the next CEO of NVIDIA? same side · consensus No | No $3.5K | — | No $16K | — |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? same side · consensus No | No $10K | — | No $19 | — |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $8.4K | — | Yes $14 | — |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5.4K | — | Yes $1.3K | — |