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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| anoin123 | BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | pIebe | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 100% (4–0, n=4) | 57% (28–21, n=49) | 54% (304–264, n=568) | 82% (9–2, n=11) |
| Consensus PnL | $210K | $758K | $309K | $5.5K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #72 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #190 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (62 of 92 open) | 42% (5 of 12 open) | 69% (86 of 125 open) | 65% (17 of 26 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 82% of 11 at avg 63¢, ROI −7% | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 163 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 63% of 8 at avg 54¢, ROI +8% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 38% (won 0% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 50% of 4) | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 29% (won 100% of 48) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 100% of 3) | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 62% (won 100% of 101) | 13% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 36% (won 100% of 4) | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 8% (won 100% of 13) | 50% (won 100% of 4) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.