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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
analdesutructorBreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)80% (206–53, n=259)45% (572–710, n=1282)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)
Consensus PnL-$60K$7.9M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #601PM monthly #2PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)80% (28 of 35 open)57% (44 of 77 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +47 pts n=30, ROI +49%
  • Esports +48 pts n=14, ROI +46%
  • MLB +33 pts n=55, ROI +32%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won99% of 215 at avg 62¢, ROI +38%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 12)10% (won 82% of 60)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢30% (won 97% of 64)35% (won 98% of 204)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 100% of 50)35% (won 100% of 202)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 100% of 89)20% (won 100% of 116)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketanaldesutructorBreakTheBankRN1
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $175KJaguars $2.6K
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $601Jaguars $3.2K
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $1.3KJaguars $174
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic $587—Florida Atlantic $20K
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $3.5KWarriors $510
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $287Ravens $2.8K
Heat vs. Warriors
same side · consensus Warriors
Warriors $769Warriors $821—