PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ameisgoat11RN1CORGII00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)51% (1352–1281, n=2633)48% (11876–12683, n=24559)63% (379–225, n=604)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$21K$13.4M$4.5M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #622PM monthly #15 + pinnedPM monthly #95was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus53% (20 of 38 open)20% (1 of 5 open)0% (0 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—94% of 23822 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 385 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 56% of 2463)9% (won 91% of 35)0%
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 94% of 5333)56% (won 99% of 214)0%
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 99% of 8660)34% (won 100% of 129)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up—31% (won 100% of 7366)2% (won 100% of 7)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketameisgoat11RN1CORGII00gringo00
Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Talia Gibson
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
Alexandra Eala $7Talia Gibson $2.3K——
Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Janice Tjen
opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen
Janice Tjen $3Harriet Dart $1.1K——