PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ameisgoat11RN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241CORGII
Record (consensus markets)51% (1352–1282, n=2634)48% (11876–12683, n=24559)56% (101–79, n=180)63% (379–225, n=604)
Consensus PnL$21K$13.4M$3.5M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #622PM monthly #15 + pinnedwas PM monthly #373PM monthly #95
Sides with the consensus54% (19 of 35 open)67% (2 of 3 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—94% of 23822 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%98% of 385 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 56% of 2463)7% (won 75% of 8)9% (won 91% of 35)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 94% of 5333)26% (won 93% of 29)56% (won 99% of 214)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 99% of 8660)42% (won 96% of 47)34% (won 100% of 129)
Entries 70¢ and up—31% (won 100% of 7366)24% (won 96% of 27)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketameisgoat11RN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241CORGII
Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Talia Gibson
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
Alexandra Eala $7Talia Gibson $2.2K——
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus PARIVISION
PARIVISION $4——Team Liquid $1.7K