← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ameisgoat11 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (1352–1282, n=2634) | 45% (502–616, n=1118) | 69% (43–19, n=62) | 48% (11876–12683, n=24559) |
| Consensus PnL | $21K | $11.1M | $5.8M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #627 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #16 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (25 of 41 open) | 70% (23 of 33 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 67% (4 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=91 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 211 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 23822 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2463) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 181) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5333) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 34% (won 99% of 176) | 54% (won 52% of 114) | 36% (won 99% of 8660) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 105) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7366) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ameisgoat11 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Janice Tjen opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen | Janice Tjen $3 | — | — | Harriet Dart $5.6K |
| Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Talia Gibson opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala | Alexandra Eala $7 | — | — | Talia Gibson $2.2K |