PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ameisgoat1100gringo00RN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)51% (1352–1281, n=2633)75% (6–2, n=8)48% (11876–12683, n=24559)63% (379–225, n=604)
Consensus PnL$21K$3.5M$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #622was PM monthly #19PM monthly #15 + pinnedPM monthly #95
Sides with the consensus53% (20 of 38 open)no open consensus position20% (1 of 5 open)0% (0 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 23822 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 385 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢—0%10% (won 56% of 2463)9% (won 91% of 35)
Entries 30–50¢—0%22% (won 94% of 5333)56% (won 99% of 214)
Entries 50–70¢—100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8660)34% (won 100% of 129)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%31% (won 100% of 7366)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketameisgoat1100gringo00RN1CORGII
Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Talia Gibson
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
Alexandra Eala $7—Talia Gibson $2.3K—
Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Janice Tjen
opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen
Janice Tjen $3—Harriet Dart $1.1K—