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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| allen114 | BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (307–125, n=432) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 43% (11774–15353, n=27127) | 48% (19652–21409, n=41061) |
| Consensus PnL | -$281K | $8.4M | -$9.5M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #644 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #35 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 73% (11 of 15 open) | 59% (16 of 27 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 333 at avg 82¢, ROI +6% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 56% of 9) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 79% of 14) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 87% of 53) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 77% (won 98% of 257) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | allen114 | BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hersonissos 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev opposite sides · consensus Adrian Andreev | — | — | Adrian Andreev $21K | Nikita Mashtakov $24K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.2K | Over $1.7K |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Machac vs Borna Gojo same side · consensus Tomas Machac | — | — | Tomas Machac $24K | Tomas Machac $17K |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: James Duckworth vs Cameron Norrie same side · consensus Cameron Norrie | — | — | Cameron Norrie $15K | Cameron Norrie $19K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.3K | Over $360 |