PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
aibaby00gringo00RN1omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)no settled market75% (6–2, n=8)48% (11699–12466, n=24165)50% (13180–13328, n=26508)
Consensus PnL—$3.5M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #720was PM monthly #19Hand-pickedPM monthly #16
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 3 open)no open consensus position63% (10 of 16 open)46% (6 of 13 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +3 pts n=30, ROI −5%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicSoccer −8 pts, n=42———
Settled positions, side won52% of 155 at avg 52¢, ROI +5%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 23802 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%91% of 10062 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 25% of 12)0%10% (won 56% of 2460)8% (won 58% of 836)
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 47% of 64)0%22% (won 94% of 5332)21% (won 85% of 2138)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 51% of 57)100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8653)38% (won 94% of 3846)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 86% of 22)0%31% (won 100% of 7357)32% (won 99% of 3242)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketaibaby00gringo00RN1omnibus-076daa
Pan Pacific Open: Naomi Osaka vs Jasmine Paolini
opposite sides · consensus Naomi Osaka
——Naomi Osaka $9.4KJasmine Paolini $119
Guangzhou Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Janice Tjen
opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen
——Polina Kudermetova $1.8KJanice Tjen $3
Pan Pacific Open: Tereza Valentova vs Mia Pohankova
same side · consensus Mia Pohankova
——Mia Pohankova $16KMia Pohankova $3.3K
Will Borneo Samarinda win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $7Yes $44