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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| a17367162806 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (295–271, n=566) | 45% (583–722, n=1305) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 50% (15683–15768, n=31451) |
| Consensus PnL | -$155K | $7.3M | $4.8M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #402 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #172 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 71% (58 of 82 open) | 59% (122 of 206 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 250 at avg 52¢, ROI +30% | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 92% of 11407 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 8% (won 61% of 889) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 45% (won 98% of 113) | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 21% (won 87% of 2410) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 48% (won 100% of 121) | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 38% (won 95% of 4354) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 100% of 13) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 99% of 3754) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.