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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ThePhantasmagoria | RN1 | BreakTheBank | omnibus-076daa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 48% (12101–12930, n=25031) | 45% (514–627, n=1141) | 50% (13583–13712, n=27295) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $13.4M | $10.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #928 | PM monthly #17 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #15 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 71% (5 of 7 open) | 68% (27 of 40 open) | 45% (5 of 11 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2 at avg 66¢, ROI +34% | 94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2478) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 8% (won 59% of 860) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5361) | 35% (won 98% of 181) | 21% (won 86% of 2252) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 100% (won 100% of 2) | 36% (won 99% of 8705) | 34% (won 99% of 176) | 39% (won 94% of 4102) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7425) | 20% (won 100% of 105) | 32% (won 99% of 3425) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ThePhantasmagoria | RN1 | BreakTheBank | omnibus-076daa |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun opposite sides · consensus Xinran Sun | — | Xinran Sun $22K | — | Maria Timofeeva $245 |
| Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5) opposite sides · consensus Nemiga | — | Nemiga $3.8K | — | FUT Esports $130 |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs same side · consensus FUT Esports | — | FUT Esports $7.3K | — | FUT Esports $646 |
| Pan Pacific Open: Elena Rybakina vs Yulia Putintseva same side · consensus Elena Rybakina | — | Yulia Putintseva $505 | — | Yulia Putintseva $685 |