PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ThePhantasmagoriaCORGII00gringo00omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)no settled market62% (383–231, n=614)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (13588–13717, n=27305)
Consensus PnL—$4.6M$3.5M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #928PM monthly #69was PM monthly #19PM monthly #16
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position33% (1 of 3 open)no open consensus position65% (17 of 26 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 2 at avg 66¢, ROI +34%98% of 385 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢0%9% (won 91% of 35)0%8% (won 59% of 860)
Entries 30–50¢0%56% (won 99% of 214)0%21% (won 86% of 2252)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 100% of 2)34% (won 100% of 129)100% (won 86% of 7)39% (won 94% of 4102)
Entries 70¢ and up0%2% (won 100% of 7)0%32% (won 99% of 3425)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketThePhantasmagoriaCORGII00gringo00omnibus-076daa
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus FaZe
—GamerLegion $12K—FaZe $35
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs
same side · consensus Vitality
—Natus Vincere $48K—Natus Vincere $69K