PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SunflowaRebuildYearsainttroplay0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241RN1
Record (consensus markets)93% (283–22, n=305)71% (10–4, n=14)56% (101–79, n=180)48% (12346–13264, n=25610)
Consensus PnL$34K$4.4M$3.5M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #485was PM monthly #11was PM monthly #373PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position38% (6 of 16 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 235 at avg 48¢, ROI +54%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%94% of 24328 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 100% of 7)0%7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 56% of 2510)
Entries 30–50¢58% (won 100% of 136)50% (won 100% of 5)26% (won 93% of 29)22% (won 94% of 5423)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 100% of 86)50% (won 100% of 5)42% (won 96% of 47)36% (won 99% of 8806)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 100% of 6)0%24% (won 96% of 27)31% (won 100% of 7589)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSunflowaRebuildYearsainttroplay0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241RN1
Kent State vs. Sacramento State
opposite sides · consensus Kent State
Kent State $168——Sacramento State $6.0K