← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SunflowaRebuildYear | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (5–2, n=7) | 48% (12168–13017, n=25185) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (514–627, n=1141) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.1K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $10.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #464 | PM monthly #23 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (9 of 14 open) | 51% (22 of 43 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 70% (28 of 40 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 56% of 2478) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 94% of 5361) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 35% (won 98% of 181) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 36% (won 99% of 8705) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 34% (won 99% of 176) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 31% (won 100% of 7425) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 105) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SunflowaRebuildYear | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Packers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Panthers | Panthers $500 | Packers $2.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Packers (-3.5) same side · consensus Packers | Packers $598 | — | — | Packers $245K |
| Spread: Packers (-6.5) same side · consensus Panthers | Panthers $532 | Panthers $456 | — | — |