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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SunflowaRebuildYear | RN1 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 93% (283–22, n=305) | 48% (12346–13264, n=25610) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (517–633, n=1150) |
| Consensus PnL | $34K | $13.4M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #485 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (5 of 9 open) | 33% (5 of 15 open) | no open consensus position | 62% (66 of 106 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 235 at avg 48¢, ROI +54% | 94% of 24328 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 530 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 100% of 7) | 10% (won 56% of 2510) | 0% | 10% (won 83% of 54) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 58% (won 100% of 136) | 22% (won 94% of 5423) | 0% | 35% (won 98% of 188) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 37% (won 100% of 86) | 36% (won 99% of 8806) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 34% (won 99% of 182) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 3% (won 100% of 6) | 31% (won 100% of 7589) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 106) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SunflowaRebuildYear | RN1 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | Nuggets $256 | — | — | Suns $291K |
| Kent State vs. Sacramento State opposite sides · consensus Kent State | Kent State $168 | Sacramento State $6.0K | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Warriors same side · consensus Lakers | Warriors $2.4K | — | — | Warriors $50K |