PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SunflowaRebuildYearBreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
Record (consensus markets)93% (283–22, n=305)45% (517–633, n=1150)56% (101–79, n=180)49% (859–885, n=1744)
Consensus PnL$34K$10.6M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #485PM monthly #1was PM monthly #373PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)62% (66 of 106 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=83, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=278, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 235 at avg 48¢, ROI +54%97% of 530 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%99% of 822 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 100% of 7)10% (won 83% of 54)7% (won 75% of 8)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢58% (won 100% of 136)35% (won 98% of 188)26% (won 93% of 29)41% (won 99% of 334)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 100% of 86)34% (won 99% of 182)42% (won 96% of 47)49% (won 99% of 404)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 100% of 6)20% (won 100% of 106)24% (won 96% of 27)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSunflowaRebuildYearBreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Nuggets $256Suns $291K——
Lakers vs. Warriors
same side · consensus Lakers
Warriors $2.4KWarriors $50K——