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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SteveTheFish | RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 48% (12336–13221, n=25557) | 62% (388–235, n=623) | 45% (516–628, n=1144) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $13.4M | $4.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #770 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 63% (42 of 67 open) | no open consensus position | 65% (30 of 46 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 94% of 24256 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 385 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 97% of 530 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 56% of 2507) | 9% (won 91% of 35) | 10% (won 83% of 54) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 94% of 5408) | 56% (won 99% of 214) | 35% (won 98% of 188) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 36% (won 99% of 8790) | 34% (won 100% of 129) | 34% (won 99% of 182) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 31% (won 100% of 7551) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 106) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SteveTheFish | RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Timberwolves $251 | — | Clippers $2.2K |