Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RN1ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Record (consensus markets)48% (14234–15729, n=29963)60% (6580–4447, n=11027)
Consensus PnL$14.8M$54K
Tracked asPM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #544
Sides with the consensus48% (12 of 25 open)57% (27 of 47 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%98% of 2340 at avg 62¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 57% of 2593)7% (won 90% of 154)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 94% of 5682)20% (won 96% of 476)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 9181)34% (won 98% of 804)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 100% of 8519)39% (won 100% of 906)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRN1ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.5KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.3KOver $10
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.6KOver $6