PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RN1GoalLineGhosttexaskidBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)49% (7039–7391, n=14430)59% (3007–2059, n=5066)65% (352–187, n=539)67% (450–220, n=670)
Consensus PnL$13.2M$26.8M$6.9M$9.1M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #133was PM monthly #51PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus85% (17 of 20 open)59% (32 of 54 open)no open consensus position75% (46 of 61 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +31 pts n=3100, ROI +22%
  • NFL +51 pts n=105, ROI +51%
  • NBA +51 pts n=48, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=272, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——College Basketball ±0 pts, n=29—
Settled positions, side won92% of 20730 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 3100 at avg 68¢, ROI +22%75% of 566 at avg 53¢, ROI +19%97% of 468 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 49% of 2167)9% (won 94% of 286)1% (won 0% of 3)11% (won 87% of 52)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 92% of 4547)11% (won 98% of 330)26% (won 68% of 148)35% (won 98% of 162)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 98% of 7502)22% (won 99% of 697)69% (won 78% of 392)32% (won 99% of 152)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 100% of 6514)58% (won 100% of 1787)4% (won 87% of 23)22% (won 100% of 102)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRN1GoalLineGhosttexaskidBreakTheBank
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.4KUnder $11K——
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-10-25?
same side · consensus No
No $4.2KNo $6.7K——
FC Internazionale Milano vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $5.0KUnder $2.7K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $2.4KNo $3.2K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.1KUnder $1.6K——
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-10-25?
same side · consensus No
No $289No $46——