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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
PolBanditprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)90% (79–9, n=88)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14165–15679, n=29844)
Consensus PnL$43K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #885PM monthly #48PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)53% (8 of 15 open)55% (42 of 77 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won99% of 82 at avg 92¢, ROI +6%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢0%41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢2% (won 50% of 2)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up98% (won 100% of 80)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketPolBanditprimmRN1
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $4Jaguars $2.9K
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
—James Madison $2.2KSouthern Miss $616
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 71.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.5KOver $890
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.8KOver $244
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 30.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $640Over $1.3K
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $698Under $691
Spread: UTSA (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $1.1KUTSA $226
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $510Jaguars $180
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
—Southern Miss $47Southern Miss $498