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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| NM-P | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 83% (5381–1110, n=6491) | 48% (14112–15590, n=29702) |
| Consensus PnL | $47K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #498 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (50 of 76 open) | 49% (24 of 49 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 4086 at avg 68¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 100% of 256) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 100% of 859) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 100% of 884) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 51% (won 100% of 2087) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | NM-P | RN1 |
|---|---|---|
| Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.6K | No $9 |
| Will SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.6K | Yes $4 |
| Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.2K | Yes $11 |
| Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $166 | Under $323 |