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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| MadridTime | ndb1 | sainttroplay | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (789–775, n=1564) | 65% (882–468, n=1350) | no settled market | 50% (19555–19619, n=39174) |
| Consensus PnL | -$4.5K | $4.2M | — | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #789 | PM monthly #143 | — | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (45 of 70 open) | 78% (25 of 32 open) | no open consensus position | 65% (33 of 51 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet | ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 367 at avg 70¢, ROI +30% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | — | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 100% of 20) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | — | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 100% of 63) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | — | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 100% of 83) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | — | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 55% (won 100% of 201) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | — | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | MadridTime | ndb1 | sainttroplay | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $7 | — | — | Yes $175 |
| Bratislava 2: Lukas Pokorny vs Toby Samuel same side · consensus Lukas Pokorny | Lukas Pokorny $5 | — | — | Lukas Pokorny $4 |