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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
LooksMaxing101ndb1primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)51% (870–842, n=1712)63% (993–578, n=1571)49% (1129–1155, n=2284)48% (14355–15860, n=30215)
Consensus PnL$34K$4.8M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #767PM monthly #97PM monthly #50PM monthly #27 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (6 of 9 open)68% (54 of 79 open)67% (10 of 15 open)51% (35 of 68 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +45 pts n=542, ROI +44%
  • NBA +49 pts n=32, ROI +45%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=212, ROI +40%
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won99% of 865 at avg 55¢, ROI +43%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 97% of 39)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 98% of 208)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢55% (won 99% of 480)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 99% of 138)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketLooksMaxing101ndb1primmRN1
TCU vs. Arizona: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $6.9KUnder $6.0K
Spread: Arizona (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus TCU
——TCU $11KArizona $142
Spread: Arizona (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus TCU
——TCU $1.8KArizona $1.3K
Spread: Arizona (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus TCU
——TCU $1.3KArizona $1.3K
Spread: Arizona (-8.5)
same side · consensus Arizona
——TCU $677TCU $1.7K
Spread: TCU (-2.5)
same side · consensus TCU
——Arizona $1.0KArizona $780