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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Kch-TempkeeptheblueflagflyinghighThunderous-Authoritarian-Snarlvisselkobe
Record (consensus markets)70% (16–7, n=23)47% (735–824, n=1559)62% (16–10, n=26)57% (4–3, n=7)
Consensus PnL$592K$653K$663K$25K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #256PM monthly #16was PM monthly #70PM monthly #895
Sides with the consensus60% (3 of 5 open)52% (56 of 108 open)0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 10 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%100% of 469 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%94% of 16 at avg 49¢, ROI +44%100% of 4 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 100% of 1)5% (won 100% of 23)6% (won 0% of 1)0%
Entries 30–50¢30% (won 100% of 3)34% (won 100% of 161)50% (won 100% of 8)50% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢60% (won 100% of 6)52% (won 100% of 243)38% (won 100% of 6)50% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up0%9% (won 100% of 42)6% (won 100% of 1)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketKch-TempkeeptheblueflagflyinghighThunderous-Authoritarian-Snarlvisselkobe
Steelers vs. Bengals
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $16KSteelers $19K——
49ers vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus 49ers
Cowboys $15K—Cowboys $66K—