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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | shineforeverr | Zzzz87 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (448–384, n=832) | 60% (48–32, n=80) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 67% (85–41, n=126) |
| Consensus PnL | $332K | $500K | $318 | $305K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #18 + pinned | PM monthly #251 | was PM monthly #666 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (82 of 123 open) | 40% (4 of 10 open) | no open consensus position | 57% (4 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 212 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 50 at avg 56¢, ROI +40% | 25% of 4 at avg 48¢, ROI −22% | 100% of 84 at avg 68¢, ROI +39% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 4% (won 100% of 2) | 25% (won 0% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 100% of 68) | 34% (won 100% of 17) | 50% (won 0% of 2) | 15% (won 100% of 13) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 127) | 44% (won 100% of 22) | 0% | 37% (won 100% of 31) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 15) | 18% (won 100% of 9) | 25% (won 100% of 1) | 46% (won 100% of 39) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | shineforeverr | Zzzz87 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $2.4K | — | — | Mavericks $6.2K |