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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | lllllllIlll | robustmst | thatsabing0 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (233–198, n=431) | 36% (4–7, n=11) | 42% (13–18, n=31) | 67% (55–27, n=82) |
| Consensus PnL | $261K | $165K | $208K | -$2.5K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #7 | was PM monthly #634 | PM monthly #28 | was PM monthly #776 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (105 of 164 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (21 of 29 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 5 at avg 64¢, ROI +32% | 100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 0% | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 0% | 85% (won 100% of 11) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 60% (won 100% of 3) | 15% (won 100% of 2) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 40% (won 100% of 2) | 0% | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | lllllllIlll | robustmst | thatsabing0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Central Michigan (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | Sacramento State $1.5K | — | — | Central Michigan $9 |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons opposite sides · consensus Falcons | Falcons $1.2K | — | — | Chiefs $3 |
| Lakers vs. Bucks same side · consensus Lakers | Lakers $13K | — | — | Lakers $5 |
| Predators vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $6.6K | — | — | Over $40 |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $3.2K | — | — | Over $37 |