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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | shineforeverr | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (448–384, n=832) | 48% (501–539, n=1040) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $332K | $462K | $318 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #251 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (82 of 123 open) | 55% (12 of 22 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 212 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 329 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | 25% of 4 at avg 48¢, ROI −22% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 6% (won 100% of 19) | 25% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 100% of 68) | 36% (won 100% of 120) | 50% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 127) | 50% (won 100% of 166) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 15) | 7% (won 100% of 24) | 25% (won 100% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | shineforeverr |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken vs. Hurricanes opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes | Kraken $41 | Hurricanes $34K | — |
| Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.5K | Over $3.4K | — |