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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpprimmsoapbubbles
Record (consensus markets)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)82% (14–3, n=17)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$3.6M$14K
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #50PM monthly #767
Sides with the consensus66% (275 of 417 open)0% (0 of 1 open)60% (9 of 15 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%82% of 17 at avg 77¢, ROI +16%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 94% of 51)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)41% (won 99% of 405)18% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)49% (won 99% of 485)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)5% (won 100% of 46)71% (won 92% of 12)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpprimmsoapbubbles
Ball State vs. UMass
opposite sides · consensus UMass
UMass $444Ball State $18—