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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | primm | soapbubbles | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 53% (5952–5311, n=11263) | 50% (1082–1097, n=2179) | 86% (18–3, n=21) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $3.3M | $3.6M | $22K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #894 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (13 of 25 open) | 69% (199 of 287 open) | 68% (27 of 40 open) | 50% (8 of 16 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 82% of 17 at avg 77¢, ROI +16% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 18% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 71% (won 92% of 12) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | primm | soapbubbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $218K | Pacers $5.6K | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Grizzlies $357 | Pacers $1.4K | — | — |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State same side · consensus Toledo | — | Sacramento State $215 | Sacramento State $7 | — |