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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| Flaznorp | ndb1 | verifly | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6565–6142, n=12707) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 34% (131–257, n=388) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.7M | $4.8M | -$299K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #94 | was PM monthly #874 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (181 of 260 open) | 70% (55 of 79 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | Esports −1 pts, n=404 |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 35% of 409 at avg 36¢, ROI −4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 32% (won 21% of 129) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 55% (won 41% of 225) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 13% (won 43% of 54) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 0% (won 0% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | ndb1 | verifly |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.3K | Under $31K | — |