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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1verifly
Record (consensus markets)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (1014–591, n=1605)34% (131–257, n=388)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$5.3M$4.8M-$315K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #2PM monthly #98was PM monthly #874
Sides with the consensus68% (167 of 247 open)no open consensus position72% (63 of 87 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15—NFL −8 pts, n=147Esports −1 pts, n=404
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%35% of 409 at avg 36¢, ROI −4%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)32% (won 21% of 129)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)55% (won 41% of 225)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)13% (won 43% of 54)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)0% (won 0% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677ndb1verifly
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.2K—Under $34K—
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $578—Under $6.4K—