← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | ndb1 | peasant | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (5927–5304, n=11231) | 65% (888–469, n=1357) | 62% (146–90, n=236) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3M | $4.2M | $138K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #149 | PM monthly #527 | — |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (214 of 347 open) | 74% (34 of 46 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | Politics −6 pts, n=50 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 58% of 250 at avg 57¢, ROI +6% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 22% (won 11% of 54) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 17% (won 38% of 42) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 21% (won 60% of 52) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 41% (won 90% of 102) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.