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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1RadioCCOD
Record (consensus markets)52% (6543–6108, n=12651)63% (993–578, n=1571)39% (125–192, n=317)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$4.8M$31K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #97PM monthly #945
Sides with the consensus72% (195 of 271 open)72% (59 of 82 open)82% (154 of 188 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −8 pts, n=147Soccer −1 pts, n=40
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%41% of 258 at avg 20¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 14% of 187)74% (won 23% of 190)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 269)10% (won 81% of 27)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 57% of 328)12% (won 94% of 31)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 622)4% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1RadioCCOD
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $357Yes $2
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $3Under $30K—