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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677primmwpj
Record (consensus markets)52% (6543–6108, n=12651)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (1144–1155, n=2299)42% (14–19, n=33)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$5.3M$3.6M$25K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #2PM monthly #47was PM monthly #981
Sides with the consensus71% (192 of 272 open)no open consensus position75% (3 of 4 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%38% of 29 at avg 41¢, ROI −4%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)38% (won 0% of 11)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)21% (won 33% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)17% (won 60% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)24% (won 86% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.