Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677primmtwe2nty
Record (consensus markets)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)53% (10–9, n=19)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)75% (129–42, n=171)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$5.6M$3.6M-$10K
Tracked asPM monthly #16PM monthly #1PM monthly #52was PM monthly #956
Sides with the consensus64% (169 of 264 open)no open consensus position75% (15 of 20 open)82% (9 of 11 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——Geopolitics −5 pts, n=118
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%71% of 246 at avg 72¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)21% (won 4% of 52)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 405)5% (won 8% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 485)4% (won 60% of 10)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 46)70% (won 96% of 171)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677primmtwe2nty
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
same side · consensus Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan $333—Eastern Michigan $2.0K—