Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677primmtntlym
Record (consensus markets)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)45% (10–12, n=22)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)no settled market
Consensus PnL$4.1M$5.3M$3.6M—
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #2PM monthly #54PM monthly #746
Sides with the consensus62% (103 of 165 open)no open consensus position50% (3 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 14 at avg 83¢, ROI +17%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)0%
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)0%
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)0%
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)100% (won 100% of 14)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677primmtntlym
Hawai'i vs. UTEP
same side · consensus Hawai'i
Hawai'i $470—Hawai'i $6.9K—